Week 4 Monday Night Football Predictions, Odds, and Picks: Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Week 4 Monday Night Football Predictions, Odds, and Picks: Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Week 6 in the NFL ruffled the feathers of many franchises, complicated the playoff picture for the NFC, and left no doubt as to how things can turn on a dime. It’s capped off by Monday Night Football when then Colts heads to Tennessee, read on to get the predictions, pick, odds and preview.

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Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

  • When: October 16, 2017, 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Nissan Stadium
  • Spread: Titans -7.5
  • Over/Under: 47
  • Moneyline: Titans -345 vs Colts +285

Indianapolis Colts Betting Analysis

Indianapolis is sitting at 3-2 against the spread, covering in all three home games.

But, they’ve been demolished on the road, losing 46-9 at the Rams and 46-18 at the Seahawks.

Their two wins, against the San Francisco 49ers and Cleveland Browns were each won by a field goal difference.

However, that they won at all without Andrew Luck perhaps says a lot of this team’s grit.

In their win over San Francisco, backup QB Jacoby Brissett showed promise that may give hope that the team can hold on until Luck returns.

Brissett led the way with 447 total offensive yards as wide receiver T.Y. Hilton had 177 yards on 7 catches.

The running game was also solid with Marlon Mack leading the way with 91 rushing yards and a touchdown on nine carries.

Mack might become the spearhead in the Colts’ strategy in this game, both through the ground and as a screen pass option to hurt the Titans.

On defense, the Colts’ secondary is well positioned to shut down the Titans passing game. The Colts should have the advantage in limiting an injured Marcus Mariota and have him turn to running the ball which favors the Colts.

Also, because most of Indianapolis’ defensive backs will be on the field, it’ll give linebacker John Simon an opening to wreak havoc in the Titans offense.

Colts Regular Season Game Results

Date

Opponent

Game

Result

Score

ATS

Spread

OU

Total

09/10/17

@ LA Rams

REG

L

46-9

L

3.5

O

42

09/17/17

vs Arizona

REG

L

16-13

W

6.5

U

44

09/24/17

vs Cleveland

REG

W

31-28

W

1

O

42

10/01/17

@ Seattle

REG

L

46-18

L

12.5

O

41.5

10/08/17

vs San Francisco

REG

W

26-23

W

-1.5

O

44

Tennessee Titans Betting Analysis

It’s no secret the Titans’ offense is built on Marcus Mariota’s mobility.

However, take that away and it all falls apart which is what’s happening because of Mariota’s hamstring injury.

Backup QB Matt Cassel has not been able to fill in Mariota’s shoes as was evident in the Titans loss to the Miami Dolphins.

The 2nd-string quarterback put up 141 passing yards and a touchdown, but was average at best.

It’s somewhat surprising Tennessee is the 7.5-point favorite heading into this game given the shaky situation at the quarterback position.

It complicates matters even more when you consider the Colts have defeated the Titans on eleven straight games. However, this should give you some insight into how to bet this game.

It’s likely that Cassel takes the field tonight and given the circumstances discussed above regarding the Colts’ secondary, the Titans will be forced to run the ball.

I think this won’t be an easy game for the Titans even if Mariota does play. And, I’m pretty certain the Colts’ secondary and linebackers will have a field day if Cassel plays. So it’s a case of being between a rock and a hard place, agree?

Titans Regular Season Game Results

Date

Opponent

Game

Result

Score

ATS

Spread

OU

Total

09/10/17

vs Oakland

REG

L

26-16

L

-2.5

U

50

09/17/17

@ Jacksonville

REG

W

37-16

W

-1.5

O

41

09/24/17

vs Seattle

REG

W

33-27

W

-2

O

41

10/01/17

@ Houston

REG

L

57-14

L

-2.5

O

43

10/08/17

@ Miami

REG

L

16-10

L

1

U

41

Colts vs Titans Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indianapolis's last 10 games on the road
  • Indianapolis is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Tennessee
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tennessee's last 18 games
  • Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Tennessee is 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games at home

Prediction and ATS Pick: For the Titans, everything hinges on Mariota taking the field. Even if he does play, I have some questions on his mobility given the type of injury which can limit his mobility. Whatever the case, I like the Colts chances of picking up the win so my money is on Colts +7.5

 
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