Best Bets For Thanksgiving Thursday NFL Games

What surprises will NFL football have in store for you this week? With three games opening with an 11-point or more spread, I’d say there’s plenty. Let’s take a look then at what the best bets for Thanksgiving Thursday NFL games. 

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Vikings (8-2) at Lions (6-4)

When: November 23, 2017, 12:30 PM ET
Where: Ford Field
Spread: Vikings -3
Total: 44.5
Moneyline: Vikings -150 vs Lions +130

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The Lions have been generous for Thanksgiving, in fact, holding a 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU record in games played on Thanksgiving Day.

That includes no less a win over Minnesota last year when the Lions covered on a 1.5-point spread as favorites.

But wait, it gets better because Detroit has also won and covered in their past three games against the Vikings.

Mind you, Minnesota is playing very well despite not having a consistent player at the quarterback position.

The Vikings are on a six-game winning streak that includes one heck of a defensive effort last week when they held the prolific Rams offense to just seven points and 254 yards.

Case Keenum has been earning his salt, throwing for 2194, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions heading into this game. I like those numbers, especially when the Vikings defense is also doing its job of keeping opposing offenses off the field.

Nevertheless, I don’t think the Lions will let the Vikings roll over them in Ford Field. Though Detroit’s defense has struggled in their last two games, if they can hold it together in this game the offense should be able to carry them forward and keep the game close.

Vikings vs Lions Betting Trends  

  • Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
  • Detroit is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
  • Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Pick: Lions +3

Chargers (4-6) at Cowboys (5-5)

When: November 23, 2017, 4:30 PM ET
Where: AT&T Stadium
Spread: EV
Total: 48
Moneyline: Cowboys -120 vs Chargers +100

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The Cowboys have done well against AFC teams since Dak Prescott started leading the offense in 2016.

Dallas has a 5-1 record, both ATS and SU, versus AFC teams, which is the best of any team in the league over that span.

That said, don’t trust your money’s worth on that trend if you’re betting against the Chargers on the road.

Los Angeles is 3-1-1 ATS while on the road and while Philip Rivers leads the offense the Chargers are 2-0 all-time versus Dallas.

The Chargers head into this match after winning over the Bills in a controversial game for Buffalo head coach Sean McDermott, who inexplicably went with rookie quarterback Nathan Peterman to start the game.

I digress, let’s get back to this game; while the line opened to slightly favor the Cowboys, it’s now at even money which should give you an idea of how evenly matched these two squads are.

However, I believe the Cowboys have an edge, albeit a slim one, in their running game. The Chargers own the league’s No. 25-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, against Dallas’ No.3 rushing offense at home.

Chargers vs Cowboys Betting Trends

  • LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • LA Chargers is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games
  • LA Chargers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • Dallas is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
  • Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Dallas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home

Pick: Take Dallas, they’ll win at home.

Giants (2-8) at Redskins (4-6) ​

When: November 23, 2017, 8:30 PM ET
Where: FedExField
Spread: Redskins -7.5
Total: 44.5
Moneyline: Redskins -330 vs Giants +270

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The Redskins head into this game as the 7.5-point favorites.

But, there’s something about Kirk Cousins being 0-9 all-time in weekday games in his entire career that doesn’t sit well with me.

Washington is also 0-3 ATS and SU in divisional games this year, but that’s equally balanced by the Giants’ 0-7 SU record against all NFC teams.

The Giants may have picked up some steam after defeating the Chiefs in Week 11, thus ending a three-game losing streak.

New York may also benefit from Washington’s disheartening loss to the Saints last week, where they gave up a 16-point lead with just over three minutes left in the game.

Regardless, the Giants win is a one-off in a season where they went 1-8 in their first nine games, so I don’t think the Redskins will have many problems with them.

After my rant over Kirk Cousins’ performance in weekday games, he played fantastically against the Saints despite the loss.

The Redskins offense is really good and this week they might have tight end Jordan Reed and wide receiver Terrelle Pryor back in the fold which can make them even better.

Though getting back on the saddle after losing to New Orleans will be hard for the Redskins, I have no doubts they’re going to be ready to take on the Giants.

Giants vs Redskins Betting Trends

  • NY Giants is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • NY Giants is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
  • NY Giants is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games

Pick: I like the 7.5-point stuffing the Redskins will hand the Giants in this game.

There you have them, the best bets for Thanksgiving Thursday’s NFL Games, now go on and grab yourself some turkey!

 
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