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2023 NFL Draft Odds

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Welcome to the wild, crazy world of the NFL Draft, regardless of who you are or why you've come. The NFL Draft is a meeting place for all football lovers.

Do you want to learn the ropes? Here are the ground rules; follow them, and you'll be fine.

What is the NFL Draft?

Over three days, 32 NFL teams will evaluate hundreds of the best college football players to select the cream of the crop. The annual NFL Draft allows teams to add new talent to their rosters. Some players will immediately benefit the squad that selects them, while others will not.

The draft may appear complicated at first, but it's pretty straightforward once you understand the rules.

The NFL Draft is a marathon of sorts. In contrast to the NBA, which has just two rounds, the NFL has seven, with each of the 32 NFL teams having an automatic pick in each round. The event takes place over three days, with the first round on Thursday, the second and third rounds on Friday, and the fourth through seventh rounds on Saturday.

For the first-round picks of the NFL Draft, each team has ten (10) minutes to make their selection, seven (7) minutes in the second round, five (5) minutes in the third through sixth rounds, and four (4) minutes in the seventh round.

If time runs out before a team submits its pick, the team is still free to make a selection; however, this will allow the following team(s) to make their picks ahead of them.

2023 NFL Draft Dates

The 2023 edition of the NFL Draft will be held from April 27 thru 29 in Kansas City in the iconic Union Station and the National World War I Museum and Memorial.

How to Read NFL Draft Odds

Most of the NFL Draft odds shown for the NFL Draft are in the American format, which gives a positive (+) or negative (-) value based on assumed improbability to a number displayed in the hundreds or thousands.

For instance, a player may have odds of -300 (75 percent implied likelihood) to be selected third overall, meaning you must wager $300 to earn $100. Another player could have odds of +195 (34 percent implied likelihood) to be the No. 3 choice, meaning you could make $195 for every $100 you risk.

Using our odds converter, you may convert American odds to decimal, fractional, or implied probability.

NFL Draft Markets.

There are a few constant NFL Draft odds, but at BetPhoenix we strive to be creative each spring, offering diverse and new NFL Draft odds each year. Below are the most prevalent types of betting odds.

Pick number props: Who will be the first player picked in the draft? Who will be picked second or third? This is one of the most popular types of NFL Draft props. NFL Draft odds are set on a wide range of top players and price them based on when they will go in the draft.

Pick position Over/Under: Oddsmakers determine a player's NFL draft odds based on where they think that player will be picked in the draft. Bettors can bet on whether that player will be selected Over or Under that number. For example, if a player's Over/Under draft position is 5.5, a bet on the Over means that the player will be picked no lower than No. 6, and a bet on the Under means that the player will be selected no higher than No. 5.

Player head-to-head props: Head-to-head props pit two players with similar draft positions against one another, allowing gamblers to predict who will go first in the draft. Each matchup is assigned an NFL draft odds set based on player probability and incoming betting action.

Position props: There are many fun and exciting prop bets to choose from during the draft. One is betting on the first player of that position to be selected in the draft, such as the first receiver. Another type of position prop is an Over/Under total for the total number of players selected at that position in the round, such as Over/Under 13.5 defensive players selected in the first round.

School and conference props: Betting on the NFL Draft is also available through school and conference props. The total number of Alabama players drafted in Round 1: Over/Under 5.5.

There are also head-to-head school and conference props, which put two schools or conferences against each other and let bettors choose which one will have the most draft picks in that round. These can occasionally have a handicap as well. Which conference, for example, will have the most Round 1 picks: the Big Ten (-1.5) or the ACC (+1.5)? To cover the -1.5 spread, the Big Ten would need two or more players taken in Round 1 compared to the ACC.

2023 NFL Draft First Overall Pick Odds

Who will be the first overall selection in the 2023 NFL Draft? That is the billion-dollar question! 

Quarterbacks are a team's most valuable and influential players. They're the guys who can convert losers into winners, nearly men into champions, and they're the players who always seem to go first in the draft when struggling teams are looking for a quick injection of freshness.

Former Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence was regarded as the greatest prospect in last year's draft, and the Jacksonville Jaguars quickly selected him. This indicates they will not choose a quarterback with their first-round pick in 2023.

The 2023 Draft is expected to be more unpredictable. Teams will have their goals in mind after months of intensive scouting and research, but that could change if a surprise pick or a spectacular deal swoops up teams in their vicinity. That is what makes the NFL Draft such a unique event to enjoy.

Which five players stand the most chance of overtaking the current number one pick?

 • 1 - C.J. Stroud +200 - QB Ohio State • 6'3" • 215 LBS

Stroud earns the nod as a first overall choice due to his more traditional physique. He has a height and weight advantage of 3 inches and 20 pounds over the Alabama quarterback. The difference compares a somewhat lighter Matthew Stafford to a significantly lighter Russell Wilson. In fact, Young's build most closely resembles that of Johnny Manziel.

Given that he passed for over 4,400 yards, 44 touchdowns, and only six interceptions a year ago, the 20-year-old draft value is already quite high. His 91.6 QBR was over four points higher than Young's, and he may continue in the same vein this season.

• 2 - Bryce Young +250 - QB Alabama • 6'0" • 180 LBS

There is a reason why Young is the reigning Heisman Trophy winner. The then-sophomore quarterback set Alabama single-season records for passing yards (4,872) and touchdowns (47), and his 10 adjusted passing yards per attempt ranked sixth in the nation. In other words, he distributed the ball quite effectively to Jameson Williams, John Metchie, and Slade Bolden.

The main concern is Young's smaller body, which has traditionally not translated well for quarterbacks other than Drew Brees, Russell Wilson, and Kyler Murray. Could he be included in the list of exceptions?

• 3 - Will Anderson Jr. +300 - EDGE Alabama • 6'4" • 243 LBS

The 6'4", 243-pound hybrid end for the Tide recorded 17.5 sacks, nine quarterback hurries, and 34.5 tackles for loss during his sophomore season. The guy known as The Terminator received the Bronko Nagurski Award, was a nominee for the Bednarik Award, and was unanimously named a first-team All-American.

• 4 - Paris Johnson +1000 - OT Ohio State • 6'4" • 243 LBS

Paris Johnson Jr. is poised to become the first Ohio State offensive tackle picked in the first round of the NFL draft since 2016 despite spending his first two college seasons playing guard. Johnson's scouting report for the 2023 NFL Draft is loaded with potential, despite the fact that much could change between now and April. C.J. Stroud may have generated early first-round buzz, but his pass protector is also poised for the class's apex.

• 5 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba +1500 - WR Ohio state • 6'1" • 190 LBS

Smith-Njigba, a rising junior, is 6 feet tall and weighs 198 pounds, similar to the two receivers who came before him. One of his most obvious skills is his ability to play outside, in the slot, and everywhere else. His speed and superior route-running talents enabled him to accumulate impressive statistics during his sophomore year.

Smith-Njigba had competition for targets from NFL talent selected in the first round, but he was able to convert 95 receptions into 1,606 yards and nine touchdowns. He accumulated nearly 1,000 yards in the last five games.

Check below for the full 2023 NFL Draft odds.

  1. CJ Stroud-QB (Ohio State) +200
  2. Bryce Young-QB (Alabama) +250
  3. Will Anderson-DE (Alabama) +300
  4. Paris Johnson Jr-T (Ohio State) +1000
  5. Jaxon Smith-Nijigba-WR (Ohio State) +1500
  6. Phil Jurkovec-QB (Boston College) +1500
  7. Tyler Van Dyke-QB (Miami) +1800
  8. Spencer Rattler-QB (South Carolina) +2000
  9. Will Levis-QB (Kentucky) +2000
  10. Bryan Breese-DT (Clemson) +2500
  11. Peter Skoronski-T (Northwestern) +2500
  12. Eli Ricks-CB (Alabama) +3000
  13. Hendon Hooker-QB (Tennessee) +3000
  14. Anthony Richardson-QB (Florida) +3000
  15. Jalen Carter-DT (Georgia) +3500
  16. Nolan Smith-LB (Georgia) +4000
  17. Justin Flowe-LB (Oregon) +4000
  18. Malik Cunningham-QB (Louisville) +4000
  19. Jaren Hall-QB (BYU) +4000
  20. Trenton Simpson-LB (Cincinnati) +4000
  21. Kayshoun Bouette-WR (LSU) +5000
  22. Josh Downs-WR (USC) +5000
  23. BJ Ojulari-DE (LSU) +5000
  24. Myles Murphy-DE (Clemson) +5000
  25. Kedon Slovis-QB (Pitt) +5000
  26. Brennan Armstrong-QB (Virginia) +5000
  27. Tanner McKee-QB (Stanford) +6000
  28. Kelee Ringo-CB (Georgia) +8000
  29. Ryan Hayes-T (Michigan) +8000
  30. DJ Uiagaleilei-QB (Clemson) +8000
  31. Isaiah Foskey-DE (Notre Dame) +8000
  32. Michael Mayer-TE (Notre Dame) +10000
  33. Bijan Robinson-RB (Texas) +10000
  34. Zion Nelson-T (Miami) +10000
  35. JT Daniels-QB (Georgia) +10000
  36. Sam Hartman-QB (Wake Forest) +10000
  37. Jahmyr Gibbs-RB (Alabama) +10000
  38. Jordan Addison-WR (Pitt) +10000
  39. Brandon Joseph-S (Northwestern) +13000

NFL Draft odds are subject to change

NFL Draft History First Picks

In the last 24 drafts, the first player picked overall was either a quarterback or a lineman. This makes it very unlikely that a running back, receiver, linebacker, or defensive back will be the first player picked on April 29 in Kansas.

In 6 of the last 8 drafts, the first pick has been a quarterback. Let's take a look at the NFL Draft history. 

  1. 2022 - Travon Walker, EDGE. The Jaguars picked him first overall in the 2022 NFL Draft after he played for Georgia.
  2. 2021 - Trevor Lawrence, QB. Considered among the highest-touted college football prospects, he won the 2019 National Championship Game as a freshman at Clemson and set the school's record for quarterback wins. Following his collegiate success, he was selected first overall by the Jaguars in the 2021 NFL Draft.
  3. 2020 - Joe Burrow, QB. Burrow won the Heisman Trophy and the 2020 College Football Playoff National Championship at LSU. Cincinnati Bengals took him first overall in the 2020 NFL Draft.
  4. 2019 - Kyler Murray, QB. Murray won the Heisman Trophy as a junior at Oklahoma. Cardinals drafted him first overall in 2019. Also, the Oakland Athletics of Major League Baseball (MLB) picked him ninth overall in the 2018 draft, making him the first athlete drafted in both sports.
  5. 2018 - Baker Mayfield, QB, Mayfield won the Heisman Trophy playing for Oklahoma. Cleveland Browns drafted him first overall in 2018.
  6. 2017 - Myles Garrett, DE. He played collegiate football at Texas A&M and was drafted first overall by the Browns in 2017. 
  7. Garrett was a three-time Pro Bowler and two-time first-team All-Pro.
  8. 2016 - Jared Goff, QB. He played college football at California and was drafted by the Los Angeles Ram's first overall in the 2016 NFL Draft.
  9. 2015 - Jameis Winston, QB. He attended Florida State University, where he won the Heisman Trophy as the youngest player ever and the 2014 BCS National Championship Game during his freshman year. Winston declared for the NFL after his sophomore season, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers selected him first overall in the 2015 NFL Draft.
  10. 2014 - Jadeveon Clowney, DE. He was twice named first-team All-American, played collegiate football at South Carolina, and was drafted by the Houston Texan's first-round overall pick in 2014.
  11. 2013 - Eric Fisher, T. He played college football at Central Michigan and was drafted first overall by the Chiefs in 2013. 
  12. From 2013 until 2020, he played with the Chiefs and won Super Bowl LIV.
  13. 2012 - Andrew Luck, QB. Luck received the Maxwell, Walter Camp, and Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Awards as a senior at Stanford. In 2012, the Colts drafted him first overall.
  14. 2011 - Cam Newton, QB. "Super Cam" leads in quarterback rushing touchdowns and yards. Newton won the Heisman Trophy and the 2011 BCS National Championship Game as a junior at Florida. Carolina Panthers picked him first overall in the 2011 NFL Draft. 
  15. 2010 - Sam Bradford, QB. Bradford was selected first overall pick by the St. Louis Rams in the 2010 NFL Draft.
  16. 2009 - Matthew Stafford, QB. He was a first-team All-American at Georgia and was drafted first overall by the Detroit Lions in the 2009 NFL Draft.

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