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2018 NCAA Football Week 6: Northwestern at Michigan State Odds & Pick

Northwestern at Michigan State

Make no mistakes about it, the Michigan State-Northwestern rivalry is fierce. The Spartans won’t be quick of getting through Northwestern. Though the college football lines have the Spartans as the favorites, can the Wildcats upend Michigan State?

2018 NCAA Football Week 6 Odds: Northwestern at Michigan State

  • When: Saturday, Oct. 6 at 3:00 pm ET
  • Where: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
  • ATS Odds: Michigan State -11 (-110)
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 44.5 (-110)

College Football Latest Lines

How’s the Weather?

  • Chance of Thunderstorm: 22°C/71°F
  • Humidity: 89%
  • Precipitation: 55%
  • Wind: 13 mph SW
  • Cloud Cover: 91%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why bet on Northwestern?

Northwestern lost to Michigan in Week 5, but they held strong against the Wolverines throughout the entire game and only lost by three points to the heavily-favored Michigan.

The Wildcats defense didn’t give away an inch and kept Michigan off balance while pushing to control the clock on offense.

Could this style favor them against the Spartans? It might, Northwestern doesn’t back down to tough competition and quite the contrary tends to step up their game.

Northwestern Statistics

Offense:

Average Score For: 22.2

Total Yards: 368.8

Pass Yards: 274

Rush Yards: 94.8

Defense:

Average Score Against: 26.8

Total Yards: 379

Pass Yards: 236.8

Rush Yards: 142.2

Why be on Michigan State?

The Spartans have clawed their way back to the Top 20 after losing 16-20 to ASU in Week 2.

Michigan State also has a good against Big Ten rivals; the Spartans dominated Indiana 35-21 as a -5.5 road favorite.

Nevertheless, Northwestern could be a tricky opponent for the Spartans. Northwestern has, in fact, dealt the Spartans with two straight losses in this series.

If there’s any game in which the Spartans have to be in it the entire game, it’s this one. Michigan State has a propensity to start slow or allow opponents to make a late comeback. Northwestern can be the type of opponent that pushes the Spartans the entire game and this makes them vulnerable.

Michigan State Statistics

Offense:

Average Score For: 29.2

Total Yards: 381

Pass Yards: 251.2

Rush Yards: 129.8

Defense:

Average Score Against: 22

Total Yards: 328.5

Pass Yards: 288.2

Rush Yards: 40.2

Northwestern vs. Michigan State Betting Trends

  • Northwestern is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games

  • Northwestern is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

  • Northwestern is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

  • Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road

  • Michigan State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan State's last 6 games

  • Michigan State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home

  • Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Game Prediction: Michigan State is favored at home in this game by -11 points against Northwestern. The public betting for this game currently has 66 percent going on Northwestern on the road, but they’ll need to have another game as against Michigan. The Spartans will win big though it’s going to cost them a big battle.

Pick: Spartans -11

 
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