Betting Packers at Bears? 2019 Pick & Prediction

2019 Packers at Bears
  • The Packers and Bears kick off the NFL regular season with a Thursday Night Football clash at Soldier Field in Chicago
  • Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers will lead his offense without taking a single snap in the preseason against a Bears team that ended last season with a 12-4 ATS regular-season record.

Betting Packers at Bears? Pick & Prediction

The Bears opened the first NFL regular-season game as a 4-point favorite, but the line has moved down slightly to a field goal. The sharp money is somewhat favoring the Bears at the moment, but things will change as the game date approaches.

The public money is around 65% on the Packers so keep reading to find out if there’s an angle on betting this game to your advantage.

  • When: September 05, 2019, 8:20 PM ET
  • Where: Soldier Field
  • NFL Odds: Bears -3
  • Over/Under: 46
  • Moneyline: Packers +145 vs. Bears -165

 

How’s the weather?

  • Humidity: 69%
  • Precipitation %: 30%
  • Cloud Cover: 51%
  • Wind: 9 mph SSE
  • Stadium Type: N/A
  • Wind Field Impact: N/A

Why Bet on the Packers?  

The NFC North is going to be a close battle between every team, but the historic rivalry between these two squads is vicious. Green Bay struggled last season, going 6-9-1. But having changed their head coach might turn the tide for the Packers.

The Packers have brought on Matt LaFleur as head coach, a job that’s a first for him. Having had mediocre results as the Titans’ offensive coordinator, LaFleur should be in a better spot with a cast that includes one of the league’s elite QBs in Aaron Rodgers.

Green Bay’s offense also includes wide receiver Davante Adams, who has established his spot as a solid player in that position. Wide receivers Geronimo Allison and Marquez Valdes-Scanting might even turn out to be good targets for Rodgers.

As far as the ground game is concerned, the Packers haven’t been able to get things going. But LaFleur has been making some changes that might kick the ground attack into gear with Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams.

Last 3 Head-to-Head Record

  • Score: 29.20
  • Rush Yds.: 123.50
  • Pass Attempts: 34.40
  • Completion %: 65.41
  • Passing Yds. 241.30
  • Total Yds. 364.8
  • Turnovers: 0.70

Why Bet on the Bears?  

The Bears went 12-4 in the last regular season, a league-best, but ended with a crushing loss to the Eagles when they missed a field goal that cost them their ticket to the playoffs.

I’m not sure that Mitchell Trubisky will be consistent, as he seemed shaky many times during the last season. Hopefully, Trubisky will also stay healthy and not run into the injuries that kept him sidelined for a couple of games, too.

The Bears have invested a lot of effort in acquiring talent to pick up the air attack. The addition of Taylor Gabriel, Allen Robinson, and Anthony Miller should be a big help for Trubisky’s air game.

Chicago has also done some work to improve the ground attack, and have brought on David Montgomery to the fold, who along with Tarik Cohen should be able to do some damage via the ground game.

Last 3 Head-to-Head Record

  • Score: 18.50
  • Rush Yds.: 113.80
  • Pass Attempts: 34.20
  • Completion %: 60.82
  • Passing Yds. 225.30
  • Total Yds. 339.1
  • Turnovers: 1.90

Betting Trends

  • Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last ten games.
  • Green Bay is 2-5 SU in their last seven games.
  • Chicago is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last five games.
  • Chicago is 9-2 SU in their last 11 games.

Insider Prediction:  The Packers have dominated the series between these two. But, the Bears have done a significant overhaul, and this should help them turn things around. It's going to be a close game, but I believe the Bears have a slight edge on this one.

Pick: Bears -3