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Saints at Falcons 2019

NFL Odds & ATS Picks For Thanksgiving Thursday

  • Are you looking for the latest NFL lines for all three Thanksgiving games? You’ve come to the right place.
  • We’re lining up the spreads and over/under for Bears vs. Lions, Bills vs. Cowboys, and Saints vs. Falcons.

Turkey day is stuffed with three NFL games enough to satisfy even the biggest hunger for football action. Check out the odds for those games and make sure to grab the free ATS picks before you fall into a food coma.

Bears at Lions

  • When: November 28, 2019, 12:30 PM ET
  • Where: Ford Field
  • NFL Latest Line:  Bears -3.5
  • Over/Under: 38
  • Moneyline: Bears -182 vs. Lions +163

Analysis: The Bears’ offense is awful though Mitch Trubisky’s return has allowed Chicago to get to a 5-6 record overall. Chicago is also now the favorite to win the game after a disappointing Lions effort against the Redskins on Sunday and quarterback Jeff Driskel’s injury that has him as questionable to play.  

Chicago also has the upper hand in the series, having won three straight games over Detroit, including a 20-13 home win in Week 10. The Bears are also 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Detroit, and I believe Mitch Trubisky can pull off another decent effort as he did against New York when he completed 25 of 41 passes for a season-high 278 yards and one TD.

Neither team has anything close to a stellar offense, but the Bears are slightly better with Trubisky at the helm. The Lions have losses in seven of their last eight games and are decimated by injuries. Chicago should cover.

Betting Trends

  • Chicago is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.
  • Chicago is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games against Detroit.
  • Detroit is 0-6 ATS in their last six games.
  • Detroit is 0-5 ATS in their last five games against an opponent in the NFC conference.

Pick: Bears -3.5

Bills at Cowboys

  • When: November 28, 2019, 4:30 PM ET
  • Where: AT&T Stadium
  •  NFL Latest Lines: Cowboys -6.5
  • Over/Under: 47
  • Moneyline: Bills +275  vs. Cowboys -330

Analysis: Once again, Cowboys owner Jerry Jones put head coach Jason Garrett on notice after Dallas’ loss to New England. Though it didn’t seem to matter it was the Patriots they were playing, Jones did have a point because the Cowboys converted on just two of 13 third-down opportunities and were 0-2 in the red zone.

Buffalo is trending upwards though they’re heading into a grueling schedule to wrap up the regular season with games against the Ravens and Patriots after this game against Dallas.

Bills quarterback, Josh Allen, has stepped his game up and is averaging 235.6 passing yards and 46.6 rush yards per game over his past three games. Allen has also passed for five scores along with three rushing touchdowns.

This game will ride on the Bills’ defense, though, and the Cowboys at home might be more than what they can chew. Even if the Bills are ranked among the league’s best defenses, Dallas has a huge advantage at AT&T Stadium.

I don’t see the Bills getting out of this game with a win. Buffalo is not only playing on a short week, and they’re playing against a team that must win and has the home advantage.

Betting Trends

  • Buffalo are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games.
  • Buffalo are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games played in November.
  • Dallas is 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • Dallas is 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games played on a Thursday.

Pick: Cowboys -6.5

Saints at Falcons

  • When: November 28, 2019, 8:20 PM ET
  • Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • NFL Odds: Saints -7
  • Over/Under: 48.5
  • Moneyline: Saints -325 vs. Falcons +270

Analysis: Not only can the Saints wrap up a third straight NFC South title by winning this game, but they can also get some payback from their Week 10 loss to Atlanta. This is the second straight season these two teams play on Thanksgiving, and the Saints won last year 31-17.

After beating the Saints earlier in the season, the Falcons won back-to-back games with a victory over Carolina. However, Atlanta lost at home to Tampa Bay last Sunday, and their offense once again struggled to get anything going.

New Orleans isn’t without problems, though, and they could find themselves in hot water if they’re not able to protect Drew Brees. Injuries to key players on the Saints’ offensive line could create significant problems for Brees, who was hit 11 times and sacked six times by the Falcons’ pass rush in Week 10.

Betting Trends

  • New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
  • New Orleans is 6-3 ATS in their last nine games against Atlanta.
  • Atlanta is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games.
  • Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in their last six games played in November.

Pick: Saints -7