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Super Bowl 2020 Betting: 49ers vs. Chiefs

Super Bowl 2020 Betting Odds: San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • The 49ers steamrolled over the Packers with Raheem Mostert’s 220 rushing yards and four touchdowns to punch their ticket to Super Bowl 54.
  • The Chiefs cruised their way to a 35-24 AFC Championship victory over the Titans. Kansas City is the 1-point favorite in the latest Super Bowl 2020 betting odds.  

The battle for Super Bowl 2020 is set. The San Francisco 49ers will face the Kansas City Chiefs to determine which team takes the Vince Lombardi Trophy back home. Which team wins? Keep reading to get a free pick!

  • When: February 02, 2020, 6:30 PM ET
  • Where: Hard Rock Stadium
  • Super Bowl 2020 Betting Odds: Chiefs -1
  • Over/Under: 54
  • Moneyline:  49ers +105 vs. Chiefs -125

Who’s Favored to Win the Super Bowl?

The spread favored the Chiefs by 1.5 points to win Super Bowl 54. However, the 49ers’ moneyline opened at EVEN odds, while the total was set at 52.5.

Around half of the public bets are siding with the Chiefs at -1 and are trending to the OVER 53.5 in totals betting.

These two teams are evenly matched, however, which is why the spread is so low. Neither side has a clear advantage over the other, as you can see in the chart below.

Super Bowl 2020 stats

 

Source: cbssports.com

Betting on the 49ers?  

 The 49ers dished out the ground-and-pound in both their wins over the Vikings and Packers to make it to Super Bowl 54. But, Kansas City’s defense proved they can hold their own against a solid rushing attack in the AFC title game against the Titans, holding them to just 85 yards on the ground.

The possible absence of running back Tevin Coleman might hamper San Francisco’s ground attack. Coleman hasn’t been ruled out of playing in the Super Bowl but would have to do so after having suffered a dislocated shoulder in San Fran’s game against Minnesota. Coleman rushed for a team-high 105 yards in that game.

If the Chiefs can successfully shut down San Francisco’s rushing game, it’ll put the burden on Jimmy Garoppolo to get the job done via the air attack. Garoppolo, however, didn’t have to turn to his arm much to win the divisional and conference championship rounds and needed just 17 total completions to get through.

Garoppolo is well up to the challenge if he has to turn to an air attack, though, as he showed in the 49ers’ win over the Saints in the regular season. The Chiefs pass defense has allowed 272 yards per game over their last three contests, so Garoppolo might have an opening to inflict massive damage with his passing.

The Chiefs also struggle to contain opposing tight ends, ranking in the bottom five against players in that position. Garoppolo could turn to George Kittle if the Chiefs are slowing down the ground attack.

The key to winning this game, though, is keeping Patrick Mahomes in check, but doing so will be easier said than done. Mahomes' ability to step out of the pocket makes him a hard target to sack. The Chiefs allowed just 1.6 sacks per game, which is the third-fewest in the league.

Mahomes has also been successful in taking advantage of third-down opportunities, turning the Chiefs into the top-ranked third-down opportunity offense.

Last 3 Games Record

  • Score: 19.67
  • Rush Yds.: 130.67
  • Pass Attempts: 33.00
  • Completion %: 57.58
  • Passing Yds. 207.33
  • Total Yds. 338
  • Turnovers: 0.33

Betting on the Chiefs?  

Everyone expects this game to be a shootout. At least, you know San Francisco will turn to their Mahomes-led pass attack that’s tried and true and got them here in the first place.

The Chiefs are counting on their talisman to bring them the Super Bowl win. Mahomes has orchestrated comeback wins in the postseason against both Houston in the wild card game and against Tennessee after trailing by double-digits in both games.

Against the Texans, Mahomes threw four touchdown passes in the second quarter, while making one touchdown pass and running for another score in the Chiefs’ game against the Titans.

The Chiefs defense also played a significant role in their postseason games, shutting down opponents on third-down opportunities and posting 12 hits on the quarterback and eight sacks in their two postseason wins.

The tandem of Mahomes and tight end Travis Kelce has also been deadly-effective and practically impossible to stop. If the Chiefs are successful in taking care of the ball, which they are because they’ve turned the ball over just once in eight quarters, they’ll be able to spread out their attack with Kelce, Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, and Mahomes to destroy San Fran’s defense.

Last 3 Games Record

  • Score: 28.67
  • Rush Yds.: 124.67
  • Pass Attempts: 32.00
  • Completion %: 59.38
  • Passing Yds. 244.00
  • Total Yds. 368.67
  • Turnovers: 0.67

Betting Trends

  • San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 12 games.
  • San Francisco is 5-1 SU in their last six games.
  • Kansas City is 8-0 ATS in their last eight games.
  • Kansas City is 8-0 SU in their last eight games.
  • Kansas City is 6-0 ATS in their last six games at home.

Insider Prediction: Neither team has a clear advantage. But, I’m leaning toward picking the 49ers on the moneyline. The UNDER is also a good bet, in my opinion, because everyone and their uncles are expecting this game to be a shootout. I think it’ll be a battle of defenses which will keep the score close.

Pick: 49ers +105