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super bowl 2020 49ers vs. chiefs ats betting tips

Super Bowl 2020: San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs ATS Betting Tips

Super Bowl 54 kicks off the second Sunday of February when the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs take the field at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida, to determine this year’s world champion. Keep reading to get a free ATS pick!

  • When: February 02, 2020, 6:30 PM ET
  • Where: Hard Rock Stadium; Miami, FL.
  • Super Bowl 2020 Betting Odds: Chiefs -1
  • Over/Under: 54
  • Moneyline:  49ers +105 vs. Chiefs -125

What Was Super Bowl 54’s Opening Spread?

The Kansas City Chiefs opened as favorites with a 1.5-point spread to win the Super Bowl.

The public is also siding with the Chiefs with around 52% of bets coming in on that side, so far. Both teams have done well for ATS bettors this season, finishing with a 6-2 ATS record playing away from their home stadium.

ATS Betting Trends

  • San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
  • San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in their last five games against Kansas City.
  • San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in their last five games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
  • Kansas City is 8-0 ATS in their last eight games.
  • Kansas City is 6-0 ATS in their last six games at home.

Analysis: If you’ve banked on either of these teams to cover in road games during the regular season, they’ve paid out on six out of eight opportunities.

Both teams have been successful at lighting up the scoreboard in regular-season wins. The Chiefs trail an eight-consecutive-game streak winning by an average margin of 16.13 points, while the 49ers had hit the OVER in six of nine games when Garoppolo passed for 248 yards or more.

These two teams are evenly matched as the 1-point spread reflects. But, while the spread may not show a clear advantage on betting either side, the fact that only six teams have won the Super Bowl but failed to cover might give you some insights on how to bet this game.

On the other hand, dogs have paid off for ATS bettors in the last eighteen Super Bowls, having an incredible 13-5 ATS record of taking to the bank.

There’s also a secret trend you might want to consider: The OVER has gone 6-2 in the last eight Super Bowls that have had a spread of 3-points or less. Everyone is expecting the Chiefs to come out gunning, but the 49ers may turn to the air attack to keep up with KC.

Offensive Stats

 

San Francisco 49ers

Kansas City Chiefs

Total Score

30.17

29.83

Passing Yards

221.33

283.50

Rushing Yards

154.22

99.94

Time on Field

31:50

29:15

Number of Plays

62.83

61.00

Yards per Play

5.98

6.29

 

Insider Prediction: Recent Super Bowls have taught us that these games are usually close with both teams putting up a fair amount of points on the scoreboard.

Six of the last nine Super Bowls have been won by single-digits, with only one of the previous sixteen Super Bowls being decided by more than fourteen points.

In other words, I believe this game will be decided by the slimmest of points, and because dogs are 3-1 ATS in the last four Super Bowls where the spread was less than three, I’m picking the 49ers.

ATS Pick: 49ers +1