New Zealand +0.75 (-115) keeps the handicap protection in play
New Zealand +0.75 isn’t asking you to pick an outright winner—it’s asking you to price Iran’s winning margin. That quarter-line protection matters because Iran can win by one goal and still not hand this ticket a full loss.
If New Zealand wins or the match ends in a Draw, the ticket is a full win; if New Zealand loses by exactly one goal, the ticket is a half-loss; if New Zealand loses by two or more goals, the ticket is a full loss in 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Decision rule: play New Zealand +0.75 at -120 or better; pass at -121 or worse.
THE PLAY: New Zealand +0.75 (-115)
Lines are based on the odds available at the time of analysis. Check current odds before placing any wager.

