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Chiefs at Jaguars 2019
  • Kansas City’s offense crushed opponents last year, fueled by quarterback Patrick Mahomes who led the Chiefs to put up 425.6 YPG and 35.3 PPG.
  • The Jaguars were tied for the fourth-best defense last year, allowing opponents just 19.8 PPG.

SUBHEADLINE

The Chiefs and Jaguars kick off the regular season with their first game in Jacksonville territory. After a successful season last year, the Chiefs open in this game as the favorites but what is the best that can put money in your pockets? Keep reading to find out. 

  • When: September 08, 2019, 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: TIAA Bank Field
  • NFL Odds: Chiefs -3.5
  • Over/Under: 50.5
  • Moneyline: Chiefs -175 vs. Jaguars +155

How’s the weather?

  • Humidity: 45%
  • Precipitation %: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 2%
  • Wind: 5 mph SSW
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why Bet on the Chiefs?  

Patrick Mahomes and the rest of the Chiefs’ offense was practically unstoppable last year. I expect Kansas City to come out gunning in their first game of the season as they set their targets on last year’s 12-win campaign.

The word in everyone’s mouths, however, is that Patrick Mahomes has to regress this season. But, I believe Mahomes will silence the naysayers and pick the Jags’ defense to pieces.

Most of the Chiefs’ starters played a lot of repetitions in the preseason, and that gives them a jump ahead over the Jaguars. Plus, the fact that Tyreek Hill received a vote of confidence in the manner of a contract extension bodes well for Kansas City turning this game into a blowout.

Last 3 Head-to-Head Record

  • Score: 25.67
  • Rush Yds.: 103.00
  • Pass Attempts: 35.00
  • Completion %: 60.00
  • Passing Yds. 212.67
  • Total Yds. 315.67
  • Turnovers: 0.67

Why Bet on the Jaguars?  

Many factors are working against the Jaguars in their opening game, including missing their starting left tackle and quarterback Nick Foles’ looming abdominal injury.

Jacksonville’s defense though is solid, and if they manage to get to Mahomes and pressure him, they may stay in the game. The problem is that for as good as the defense is, it may be overwhelmed by the Chiefs’ host of offensive talent.

Last year, the Jaguars pretty much fell into a hole and finished 5-11 SU and 5-9-2 ATS. The awful result can be chalked up to Bortles’ inability to lead the offense. Even while Foles might change things for the Jaguars, I don’t think this is the game where it’ll happen.

Last 3 Head-to-Head Record

  • Score: 10.00
  • Rush Yds.: 125.67
  • Pass Attempts: 47.67
  • Completion %: 51.75
  • Passing Yds. 250.67
  • Total Yds. 376.34
  • Turnovers: 3.67

Betting Trends

  • Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last eight games.
  • Kansas City are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games.
  • Jacksonville is 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last five games.
  • Jacksonville is 2-10 SU in their last 12 games.

Insider Prediction:  While everyone is expecting Kansas City to turn this game into a bloodbath, I think the Jaguars defense will do its job and keep him under wraps. But, don’t expect the Jaguars to put up many points, either. In other words, I favor the under for this game.

Pick: UNDER +50.5

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