Turkey +0.5 (+104) cashes on a win or a Draw in 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Turkey +0.5 flips the pressure onto USA: to beat your ticket, the favorite can’t merely look good — they have to win the match in 90 minutes plus stoppage time. That’s the whole band you’re buying here: avoid defeat, not “pick the outright winner.”

Do not read Turkey +0.5 like a Turkey moneyline. A Draw is not dead weight here; it’s part of the payout.

Australia +0.25 (-120) still pays half on a Draw.

Australia +0.25 turns the match into a Draw-pressure bet: A level finish does not beat Australia +0.25; it pays half the ticket. That’s the point of the quarter line here—make the favorite do more than “not lose” in 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Do not treat +0.25 like +0.5. The Draw helps, but it only pays half, not the full stake, which matters if you’re expecting a full cash on a 0-0 or 1-1.

Tunisia +2.5 (+104) still cashes on a one- or two-goal loss.

This number isn’t asking you to fade a Netherlands win — it’s forcing the favorite to stretch the result beyond the two-goal band. Netherlands can win the match and still fail to cover this spread; the only thing that beats you is separation to three goals or more.

Sweden +0.5 (-104) cashes on a win or a Draw in 90 minutes plus stoppage time. 

Sweden +0.5 is pure handicap protection: Japan don’t get to “look better” or even grind out pressure — they have to actually win the match in 90 minutes plus stoppage time to beat your ticket. That’s the band you’re buying: avoid defeat, and you get paid.

Ecuador +1 (-110) refunds on a one-goal loss. 

Ecuador +1 turns this match into a margin problem for Germany, not a simple “win the match” requirement. A one-goal Germany win sits in the refund band, which means the favorite can be right on the result and still fail to beat the number. That pressure is the point: this line asks whether Germany can create separation beyond the one-goal window in 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Curaçao +2.25 (-115) still pays half on a two-goal loss. 

This number isn’t asking whether Ivory Coast win the match; it’s asking whether they can stretch the margin all the way to three goals. With Curaçao +2.25, the favorite can be “right” on the scoreboard and still not clear the bar that beats your ticket.

Do not make the common read-error here: a two-goal defeat is not automatically a dead ticket on this line. The quarter-goal split is the whole point—it keeps you paid through that band instead of turning it into an all-or-nothing sweat.

Haiti +2 (+101) changes the margin question.

Morocco can win this match and still not beat the number. Haiti +2 is a bet on the three-goal question: can Morocco stretch the margin all the way past the two-goal band, or does the result live in the space where favorites often look comfortable without separating?

Do not grade this like a simple "Haiti must avoid losing." The whole point of +2 is that a two-goal Morocco win is not automatically fatal to your ticket.

Scotland +1.5 (-104) changes the margin question. 

Scotland +1.5 is a margin bet, not a “who wins the match” bet. This handicap forces Brazil to do more than simply get over the line — they have to clear a two-goal gap in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, which is a very different bar than “Brazil to win.”

Do not reduce this to a simple winner pick. With +1.5, Scotland owns the protected result band, and Brazil’s win still isn’t automatically your loss.

Canada +0.25 (-120) still pays half on a Draw.

Canada +0.25 flips the usual favorite logic: a level match does not beat your position. That makes the Draw the pressure point at this number, because you are getting paid for part of the most common "nothing separates them" result band without needing Canada to win.

Do not treat +0.25 like +0.5; the Draw helps, but only for half the ticket, not the full payout.

Qatar +1.5 (-107) changes the margin question. 

This +1.5 isn’t asking whether Bosnia & Herzegovina can win the match—it’s asking if they can create separation. The favorite can be “right” on the result and still not be right on the number, because this handicap forces Bosnia to find a second goal inside 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Do not reduce this to a simple winner pick. Qatar owns the protected result band here, and that protection is the entire point of the price.