2017 AFC South Total Wins Betting Predictions

The AFC South has received a lot of flak for not being very good, but with three teams in the thick of the division race in the last week of the season, it’s fair to say it’s very competitive based on what the odds to win the division are reflecting.

The Houston Texans found a way to win the division for the second consecutive year despite not having their best player for most of the season, and inconsistent play at the quarterback position.

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Do the Texans have what it takes to win again? We will find out when we take a closer look at the AFC South projections for the season.

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AFC South Division 2017 Win Total Predictions

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts are projected to win nine games this season. Last year, the team finished with an 8-8 record for the second consecutive season, which was good for third in the division.

The Colts’ struggles the past two seasons can be attributed to their offensive line, which has been one of the worst in the league.

Due to the ineffectiveness of their line, their running game has been stagnant and quarterback Andrew Luck is always under pressure, which has led to injuries for the franchise quarterback.

This is bad because the Colts fate lies in a healthy Luck. And, if they can’t protect Luck, they’re surely not going to be able to win too many games.

The Colts tried to address their offensive line issues in the off season, but only time will tell if their O-line will have improved this year.

Indianapolis did take on two players on defense, safety Malik Hooker and corner Quincy Wilson, which should give them some stopping power (or at least finish better than 30th in yards allowed last year).

These two were taken on under new GM Chris Ballard and for all intents and purposes, it’s a good signal that the Colts are finally righting their ship.

Under former GM Ryan Grigson, the Colts took on a slew of players that didn’t pan out. Such was the case for wide receiver Phillip Dorsett, who was drafted even while it was clear the team needed help on defense.

Ballard instead has seemingly put together what looks like a great defense that should make waves this season and improve over the following.

The Colts have to play only three playoff teams from last season, so they should be able to win more than nine games.

• Over/Under Prediction: OVER 9

Houston Texans

The Texans are projected to win 8.5 games. Last year, they won nine games without three-time Defensive Player of the Year J.J. Watt for most of the season, and inconsistent play from Brock Osweiller.

The team drafted former Clemson quarterback Deshaun Watson, who will likely become the starter early on in the season or perhaps will open if Savage doesn’t take a crack at it.

For now, Tom Savage is expected to open, but you can’t really expect he’ll stay long if he doesn’t play well. Coach Bill O’Brien made that clear when he said: “It’s always about the team. It’s always about the team,” he said. “It’s always that way, whatever decision we make. So Tom Savage is No.1. But he knows that he has to go out there and earn it every day. And that’s what’s best for the team.”

With their smash mouth defense led by a healthy Watt, a decent running game, and a quarterback upgrade, there is no reason why the Texans won’t win 10 games this year.

• Over/Under Prediction: UNDER 10

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars are projected to win six games this season. Despite having a lot of talent on the team, the Jaguars were only able to win three games last year.

This year, they are even more talented with the addition of LSU running back Leonard Fournette, who is one of the front runners for the Rookie of the Year award.

Fournette should immediately make an impact on the Jaguars’ ground game which has been ineffective with Chris Ivory and T.J Yeldon.

This isn’t to say that Fournette won’t have to work hard, in fact, his workload will be immense but there’s no denying his talent and what he can bring to the offense.

Quarterback is still an issue for the Jaguars as Blake Bortles hasn’t looked like the franchise quarterback the Jaguars were hoping he would be.

Under Tom Coughlin, Bortles’ future is probably not certain. Certainly, Bortles’ 51 interceptions over three seasons won’t cut it.

With their defense expected to improve with the addition of corner A.J Bouye, safety Barry Church and Calais Campbell, I can see Jacksonville winning six games, but no more than that.

• Over/Under Prediction: UNDER 6

Tennessee Titans

The Titans are projected to win 8.5 games this season. The team improved from their 2015 campaign, winning nine games. However, it wasn’t enough to dethrone the Texans who held the tie breaker over the Titans.

Nevertheless, it’s evident the Titans are improving and have now put two winning seasons under their belts after busting for eight years since they last won the division.

With a healthy Marcus Mariota and a great running game with DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry, the Titans offense shouldn’t have trouble moving the ball.

Mariota threw for 26 TDs and nine interceptions last year, but I still have some questions whether he can lead the Titans to the playoffs this year.

Their defense on the other hand, was one of the worst in the league, but the team tried addressing the issue during the off season. If Tennessee’s defense plays better than they did last year, they will be very difficult to beat.

Tennessee will win more than nine games this season and will shock the rest of the AFC South by winning the division.

• Over/Under Prediction: OVER 9